Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 710.024250 800.203190 900.848068 1022.140696 1165.201990 1329.618254 1534.387256
2025-02-23 573.247343 695.166088 844.976535 1045.496999 1311.370318 1658.436598 2157.187266
2025-03-02 501.367536 636.069531 811.890303 1063.885099 1425.638275 1942.583747 2769.602864
2025-03-09 444.236985 583.064090 772.807578 1059.715095 1498.831476 2175.523318 3364.102105
2025-03-16 396.653155 534.808536 730.721947 1040.208300 1539.968374 2361.844783 3931.161982
2025-03-23 367.383331 507.861810 714.059926 1053.664503 1631.448355 2645.449693 4756.577812
2025-03-30 332.996987 469.161326 674.389568 1023.570531 1642.813765 2788.617621 5354.269594
2025-04-06 304.716954 436.584222 640.068070 996.569359 1653.255205 2929.886185 5995.821155
2025-04-13 279.468962 406.234833 605.870889 964.713672 1648.378429 3038.247680 6600.917837
2025-04-20 268.548957 397.326504 605.282525 991.222747 1758.582344 3411.430257 8032.875926
2025-04-27 255.238482 383.288676 594.504167 997.372503 1828.704456 3713.804116 9423.543590
2025-05-04 246.249350 375.512618 593.482033 1021.373092 1940.063748 4143.413979 11448.109126
2025-05-11 232.875000 360.100151 578.992197 1020.263894 2003.567181 4492.052420 13517.175112
2025-05-18 224.317091 352.417514 577.956234 1046.857321 2138.537822 5086.393917 17055.958045
2025-05-25 215.473371 343.378238 573.307046 1064.983890 2257.257722 5681.922043 21245.690165
2025-06-01 204.731552 330.063205 559.234330 1060.833563 2319.455044 6131.682194 25298.432082
2025-06-08 193.226792 314.502096 539.399524 1041.298294 2337.559715 6447.416459 29066.959472
2025-06-15 186.361999 306.931548 534.466433 1054.772806 2448.791119 7138.632898 36314.322275
2025-06-22 175.537504 291.241522 512.000382 1024.638375 2430.697594 7347.446845 40588.804513
2025-06-29 165.907717 277.209129 491.810665 997.601204 2416.912570 7573.278370 45530.093035
2025-07-06 156.557184 263.164146 470.572978 965.703397 2382.943217 7708.151441 50065.414169
2025-07-13 153.306547 260.615922 472.949211 992.247496 2536.177174 8731.493759 66468.079100
2025-07-20 148.439341 254.600428 467.503980 998.405414 2626.346353 9526.493111 83497.035831